Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 87035.376005 91843.961827 96652.975791 101819.983361 107211.207724 112667.116304 118602.481002
2025-11-16 79278.072452 86625.574088 94179.404969 102515.706296 111447.285585 120719.286821 131062.081498
2025-11-23 73218.894387 82245.142748 91728.870284 102415.632248 114101.940524 126472.009364 140534.695056
2025-11-30 69556.636888 79940.704008 91048.587754 103781.037806 117937.200681 133158.149835 150725.843063
2025-12-07 66317.943466 77770.049786 90214.647600 104692.882893 121022.493116 138818.106506 159624.624387
2025-12-14 63004.300874 75262.378326 88775.651690 104710.798146 122917.680769 142999.972448 166752.459221
2025-12-21 60276.989811 73238.132881 87715.873117 104999.500599 124979.919408 147259.361328 173884.516576
2025-12-28 58597.563891 72303.645886 87796.975827 106498.775936 128346.736968 152945.815344 182614.115236
2026-01-04 56869.056798 71206.091733 87596.597189 107588.804462 131175.413245 157973.607699 190571.478926
2026-01-11 55080.681593 69943.354235 87119.376474 108279.001972 133477.301203 162352.639607 197760.830388
2026-01-18 53174.820575 68451.892446 86292.636174 108482.935283 135146.944251 165953.085412 204019.766860
2026-01-25 51463.370887 67122.294715 85593.040301 108777.759802 136874.976481 169589.184513 210306.800800
2026-02-01 49670.836645 65643.942809 84675.649152 108783.625248 138248.557150 172819.669452 216157.069098
2026-02-08 48582.591643 64997.025083 84737.670523 109955.396884 141018.062529 177721.245081 224032.831467
2026-02-15 46977.121675 63641.001166 83872.998525 109940.718233 142304.950009 180818.586184 229734.897545
2026-02-22 46187.969356 63285.155816 84222.169432 111406.966345 145397.939832 186105.006564 238110.883211
2026-03-01 45215.560558 62655.739956 84195.626995 112377.367774 147861.926424 190623.895141 245569.861356
2026-03-08 43860.235604 61484.935219 83443.429556 112397.197355 149113.614337 193640.961732 251188.559017
2026-03-15 42706.105784 60537.985177 82941.653816 112703.327344 150700.968103 197060.544510 257307.469250
2026-03-22 42178.402444 60394.222078 83453.695796 114292.089872 153903.982380 202493.590121 265949.391884
2026-03-29 41492.254956 60014.534712 83639.979560 115447.014007 156550.735297 207240.330446 273761.647838
2026-04-05 40660.845300 59412.717676 83513.472693 116178.236861 158645.926541 211297.063420 280727.765336
2026-04-12 39654.635136 58544.196261 83009.827578 116394.282580 160062.663208 214493.080726 286619.668406